INVESTMENT PROCESS

Investment Process

The Fund uses a three-step process to anticipate market direction and appropriately position the portfolio. This process is driven by a diverse set of micro-alpha signals - individual indicators that have shown to be predictive in forecasting near-term market performance.

Step 1 – Evaluate Micro Alpha Signals
HTUS analyzes a broad range of signals derived from economic, fundamental, technical, event-driven, seasonal, and sentiment data. Each signal is desgined to capture a disctint aspect of market behavior. These signals are evaluted using statistical methods and combined to form a comprehensive, forward-looking view of overall market conditions.

Step 2 – Generate Market Sentiment Score
The individual micro alpha signals are aggregated into a single market sentiment score, which reflects the Fund's overall outlook and confidence in the near-term market environment. By combining many independent signals, the process seeks to reduce reliance on any single indicator and produce a more robust and consistent assessment.

Step 3 – Position The Portfolio
The Fund adjusts equity exposure based on the Market Sentiment Score. Exposure is increased when signals indicate favorable conditions and reduced as uncertainty or risk rises.

The exposure may range from 0% equity exposure in the most defensive environments to 200% long exposure in the most favorable conditions, with 100% representing a neutral position.

Market Sentiment Score
The Market Sentiment Score synthesizes the micro alpha signals into a single, actional measure used to guide portfolio positioning. Each level of the Market Sentiment Meter corresponds to a targeted equity exposure level.

This approach is designed to allow investors seeking to participate in rising markets while seeking to place an emphasis on risk management during periods of elevated uncertainty or increased risk.

Market Sentiment Meter Current: 96

Swipe left on the table below to see more information.

Score Allocation Outlook Equity Exposure Intuition
200 100% S&P 500 ETF
90% S&P 500 Futures
10% S&P 500 Index Options
Extremely Bullish 200% - Expectations for near-term very strong equity appreciation.
- Portfolio positioned to experience approximately twice the daily S&P 500 return.
150 60% S&P 500 ETF
80% S&P 500 Futures
10% S&P 500 Index Options
Bullish 150% - Expectations for near-term strong equity appreciation.
- Portfolio positioned to experience approximately 1.5 times the daily S&P 500 return.
100 60% S&P 500 ETF
30% S&P 500 Futures
10% S&P 500 Index Options
Neutral 100% - Expectations for near-term average equity appreciation.
- Portfolio positioned to experience approximately the daily S&P 500 return.
50 50% S&P 500 ETF
50% Short Term U.S. Treasury Instruments or other Cash Instrument
Bearish 50% - Expectations for near-term negative S&P 500 performance.
- Portfolio positioned to experience approximately half the daily S&P 500 return.
0 100% Short Term U.S. Treasury Instruments or other Cash Instrument Extremly Bearish 0% - Expectations for near-term negative S&P 500 performance.
- Portfolio positioned to avoid S&P 500 daily return.

HTAA, LLC serves as the investment adviser. The Funds are distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC (4221 North 203rd Street, Suite 100, Elkhorn, NE 68022) Check the background of Northern Lights Distributors, LLC on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.